Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 113.938461 129.611190 146.956339 167.627506 191.658167 218.792150 251.861038
2025-11-30 92.104163 112.684087 137.420088 169.544169 210.453201 261.198183 329.514415
2025-12-07 75.936854 97.792575 125.649233 164.146635 216.576628 286.366422 387.771648
2025-12-14 65.944257 88.482405 118.599578 162.389727 225.438571 314.489805 452.604093
2025-12-21 59.507034 82.714923 115.021858 164.131270 238.407824 349.046143 531.137980
2025-12-28 55.695562 79.944675 114.987786 170.490192 258.386508 396.056360 635.897990
2026-01-04 52.028835 76.842077 113.917027 174.849798 275.465515 440.501688 743.653822
2026-01-11 47.550596 71.967891 109.515347 173.239675 282.391781 468.893875 828.111795
2026-01-18 44.826222 69.484985 108.487454 176.815452 298.201326 514.294895 951.053291
2026-01-25 41.604321 65.860885 105.194015 176.074124 306.179173 546.549744 1054.248968
2026-02-01 39.166039 63.269898 103.307412 177.466765 318.025251 587.408444 1181.968894
2026-02-08 36.480109 60.007758 99.940624 175.762733 323.718702 616.960058 1291.038150
2026-02-15 33.855270 56.820383 96.746232 174.689978 331.864262 655.494956 1434.999362
2026-02-22 32.000323 54.837214 95.544567 177.358652 348.152747 714.401759 1642.026393
2026-03-01 29.228776 50.943890 90.449478 171.768240 346.464881 733.991183 1758.002898
2026-03-08 27.239930 48.300377 87.418244 169.931013 352.501088 771.976695 1930.746961
2026-03-15 25.888209 46.720277 86.249323 171.766367 366.893860 832.082191 2179.182280
2026-03-22 25.188742 46.314380 87.320052 178.462871 393.423858 926.840823 2553.575596
2026-03-29 24.312004 45.477585 87.431069 183.054795 415.682335 1015.196720 2936.214373
2026-04-05 22.896636 43.444539 84.889327 181.358795 422.238129 1063.237885 3206.041654
2026-04-12 22.097699 42.591383 84.729351 185.125448 443.207739 1155.197494 3652.689459
2026-04-19 20.966431 40.958077 82.749053 184.344504 452.197895 1214.848604 4006.483116
2026-04-26 20.105771 39.822748 81.746907 185.811586 467.485785 1296.455155 4470.751590